delphi-method
radarist/structured-analytic-skillsAggregates independent expert judgments into a consensus estimate — or an honest map of where experts split — with the RAND Delphi method: anonymous panel,…
Scores out of 100 · grade B+
2026-08-22Works
40% of the score100/100
- Loads cleanly: valid frontmatter, required fields present, no dangling references.
Maintained
25% of the score94/100
- no commits in the last 12 weeks
- no license file
Adopted
20% of the score7/100
- 2 stars on the source repo.
Documented
15% of the score100/100
- 1,600 words with worked examples.
- Ships 7 bundled files.
Install
npx skills add radarist/structured-analytic-skills/delphi-methodWhat the check found
| Finding | What it means |
|---|---|
| No license | The repository ships no license file, so the reuse terms are unclear. |
What it says it does
Aggregates independent expert judgments into a consensus estimate — or an honest map of where experts split — with the RAND Delphi method: anonymous panel, iterated rounds, controlled feedback of the group median and interquartile range, and a stability stopping rule. Use when data alone cannot answer and structured expert judgment is needed — "run a Delphi study", "expert consensus forecast on X", "when will X happen, according to the experts?", "expert elicitation of a date or probability". Not for a single reasoner's dated forecast — use `foresight`; not for branching futures — use `scenario-planning`; not for scoring forecasts afterwards — use `brier-score-calibration`.
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